Canelo vs mayweather
Canelo vs mayweather,With the announcement
of the huge September 14 superfight between Floyd Mayweather and Canelo
Alvarez quite rightly being met by almost-unanimous approval from boxing
fans, the bookmakers have wasted little time in putting together their
early lines.
As with every Mayweather fight,
a win for the man in the opposite corner will be the best possible
result for the layers (if we exclude the faint possibility of their
favourite outcome, the draw). And, as with every Mayweather fight, it's
‘Money' who is the firm odds-on favourite, even against an opponent like
Canelo, surely the epitome of the ‘hungry young lion' Mayweather's
talked about.
So what's new? The big
difference here, of course, is that in the Guerrero, the Cotto, the
Mosley fights (et al), only a rebellious minority fancied the chances of
the underdog - seemingly almost to take the stance of ‘well, I told you
so' in the extremely unlikely event the outsider actually pulled the
huge upset. In Canelo, however, we have a fighter that a significant
number of people will favor to win - and, in one of those rare twists
for a Mayweather fight - will be favored to do so based on ability, not
driven (at least, perhaps, not solely) by regional or national bias or,
more simply, a dislike of the consensus pound-for-pound number one. Make
no mistake: Canelo is as legit an available opponent as there is for
Mayweather, and the initial excitement that the announcement of the
fight was met with is entirely justified.
Mayweather opened a general
-225 favourite (-200 and -250 also widely available) earlier today, with
Canelo priced at just under two-to-one (+175 and +187 widely
available). In the UK, interestingly, the early lines are more
pro-Mayweather, with -250 the best available on the Grand Rapids native.
With other books, though, the line is wider. Mayweather's as short as
-350, shorter than a one-to-three favourite, with Irish firm
Boylesports. Oddsmaker William Hill has Mayweather at -333, and there's
similar prices to be found elsewhere. Both books have Canelo as a +240
favourite (12/5 in European terms) - slightly better than two-to-one.
The notion that
Mayweather-Canelo will be the biggest-grossing fight since De La
Hoya-Mayweather in May 2007 will only be proven by the gate and PPV
receipts once the dust has settled toward the end of September, but
certainly in betting terms, this is, at least, set to be Mayweather's
most competitive. We haven't seen as big a price as -250 on Mayweather
since that De La Hoya fight, when -185 was fleetingly available (closing
around -200), or when he fought Ricky Hatton later the same year, when
Mayweather reached a similar price - at least in the UK, where layers
took on huge liabilities with the public's late support of the ‘Hitman'.
An interesting yardstick can be
found when looking at the odds for that other superfight - the
ill-fated Mayweather-Pacquiao conundrum - which is still readily
available to bet on, for those who may enjoy investment propositions
with no foreseeable payout. In what's been an understandably
long-running market, the Mayweather-Pacquiao lines seemed to fluctuate
on the back of every dominant performance the two put in, and never were
they closer than in the immediate aftermath of Pacquiao's lopsided
victory over Miguel Cotto. Though at no point was Mayweather anything
other than an odds-on favourite with the books, more recently he seems
to have settled at around the -250 mark at best, with again, slightly
shorter odds in the region of -333 available elsewhere. In other words,
the layers think Pacquiao and Canelo offer an equal level of resistance
to Mayweather - but not quite enough - between them, albeit in very
different ways.
With the fight announced so
early, and the press hype for this fight set to outdo anything we may
have seen in a long time, there's little doubt that there'll be plenty
of movement in the prices as public attention - and the depth of odds
available in the market - grows. As with so much of the build-up to
Mayweather-Canelo that's about to get underway, it's going to be
fascinating to watch.
Source : http://www.badlefthook.com/2013/5/30/4379820/mayweather-vs-canelo-early-betting-odds-and-reaction
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